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2011-12 Predictions

Update: 12:25PM: Wolski is OUT tonight.

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Update: 11:52AM: Henrik Lundqvist is the first goalie off according to Andrew Gross

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Honestly, I think that the Rangers will actually meet expectations and have the kind of season that we are expecting them to. To me, that means finishing in sixth place or above, I pick sixth, and winning one round and going deep into the second round of the playoffs before being eliminated.

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Darren Elliott of SI picks the Rangers to win the Atlantic Division and says:

This is an emerging outfit built largely on an identity of hard work and being hard to play against on a nightly basis. If the Rangers can survive an October on the road and put up more wins at the under-construction Madison Square Garden -- like they did two seasons ago -- a top three seed in April is possible.
Katie Baker of Grantland picks the Rangers to make the playoffs but also calls them one of the teams most likely to disappoint.

The NY Times thinks that the Rangers are a good hockey team, but not in the class of Stanley Cup contender yet. They predict a breakout season for Artem Anisimov.

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At Rangers Report and Newsday, Carp and Steve Zipay list their keys to the Rangers season.

Both talk about health and Marian Gaborik, while Carp mentions the young defense and Zipay mentions getting better at MSG.

Stu Hackel at SI wonders about the lack of a veteran on defense, the impact that Brad Richards will have and if Michael Del Zotto will make smarter plays.

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In the NY Post, Larry Brooks predicts the Rangers to finish in sixth place in the Eastern Conference and fall to the Penguins in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Mark Everson picks the Rangers to finish in seventh and Brett Cyrgalis picks them to finish in fourth.

Brooks lists the Rangers eleventh in his power rankings.

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At Puck Daddy, they list the odds that have been set for awards in the NHL this season.

For Ranger players, they have:

  • Tim Erixon at 10-1 for the Calder
  • Brad Richards at 30-1 for the Hart, 45-1 for Art Ross
  • Henrik Lundqvist at 8-1 for the Vezina
Marc Staal is not listed for the Norris and Marian Gaborik is not listed for the Rocket Richard.

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At USA Today, the Rangers are ranked 13th in their first installment of their power rankings.

In their predictions, two of the twelve people asked, including USA Today's Kevin Allen pick the Rangers to win the Eastern Conference.

One picked Henrik Lundqvist to win the Vezina Trophy.

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At ESPN.com, Scott Burnside list 10 things you need to know about the Rangers as part of his season preview for the team.

Among the topics that he touches on are Henrik Lundqvist, Brad Richards, the defense and Marian Gaborik.

The defense is certainly a big topic with the uncertainty of Marc Staal, Michael Sauer's injury and the readiness/preparedness of players like Tim Erixon, Michael Del Zotto and Brendan Bell.

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At USA Today, Kevin Allen picks the Rangers to win the Atlantic Division.

He says that if Brad Richards puts up close to 90 points the Rangers could have a shot to win the division for the first time since 1994.

Allen lists Derek Stepan as the Rangers player to watch and thinks that he could get close to 60 points with the proper amount of ice time.

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via NHL.com

Not so sure about this. Certainly seems like Mats Zuccarelllo will replace Feds on that line, Feds will drop down and Rupp will be on the left side of Derek Stepan. Sean Avery just doesn't seem to figure into the starting lineup. Del Zotto and Tim Erixon also will probably switch spots on here.

Tags: 2011-12 Predictions, Adam Rotter

In the last post we introduced Hockey Prospectus? VUKOTA projection system and scrutinized its forecasting skills against the actual results of last season?s Blueshirts squad. While VUKOTA proved somewhat underwhelming in a limited sample I thought it would be interesting to see how VUKOTA pegged this year?s club. Here are the results.

Player

Pos

GP

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At ESPN Insider, Craig Custance answers a question about how good he thinks the Capitals will be this season and says that he has the Rangers, pending Marc Staal is healthy, and the Penguins ahead of the Caps.

[jbutton color="green" link="http://www.snyrangersblog.com/category/2011-12-predictions/" size="xsmall"]CLICK HERE[/jbutton] for more predictions on the Rangers finish this season.

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At ESPN Insider, Craig Custance and Alvin Chang combined to devise a ranking system, using some advanced stats, to determine the standings for the Eastern and Western Conference this season.

They have the Rangers finishing third in the conference and winning the Atlantic Division.

Using their playoff power meter, the Rangers scored a 28 out of 36. The Capitals, projected to win the Presidents trophy, have a 36 out of 36.

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At TSN, Scott Cullen projects out the top 300 scorers in the NHL next season.

He picks Alexander Ovechkin to capture the Art Ross Trophy and score 44 goals and add 58 assists.

Cullen picks Brad Richards to finish 23rd in the league with 25 goals and 46 assists with 31 of those points coming on the PP in 72 games.

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Last week, The Hockey News announced, in their annual yearbook, that they predict that the Rangers will finish in seventh place in the Eastern Conference.

Today, as they countdown where teams will finish, they explain why they put the Rangers seventh.

They say that the Rangers "One of the best defensive teams in the NHL last season backed by one of the game's elite goalies in Henrik Lundqvist, the young blueline led by Marc Staal and Dan Girardi will take another step forward in 2011-12" and that they can't be worse after addressing their biggest need, with Brad Richards, in the offseason.

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At Sportsnet, Mike Brophy has a list of questions that he is thinking about as we get closer to training camp and the preseason.

He asks:

Can Brad Richards pull a Mark Messier and bring the Stanley Cup back to Broadway?
Messier led the Rangers to the Stanley Cup in his third season with the Rangers. Richards signed a nine-year deal with the Rangers on July 2.

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At NHL.com, Dave Lozo writes that if the Rangers "can avoid half the injuries they suffered last season, not only will they be a lock for the playoffs, but they'll contend for the Atlantic Division."

Lozo also writes that consistency from the offense will need to be the biggest thing for the Rangers this season.

The Rangers lost 327 man-games last season due to injury.

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In their Annual Yearbook, The Hockey News picks the Rangers to finish in seventh place in the Eastern Conference. They place their Stanley Cup odds at 25-1.

They predict the Rangers to finish third in the Atlantic Division behind the Penguins and the Flyers.

They have the Washington Capitals winning the Stanley Cup.

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In The Hockey News fantasy preview magazine, they list out where they think each Ranger will finish the season in points.

They think that bother Brad Richards and Marian Gaborik will have over 80 points and that each member of The Pack Line will have over 50, Ryan Callahan with 57, Artem Anisimov with 53 and Brandon Dubinsky with 52.

They project Wojtek Wolski to score 46 points and Derek Stepan to score 44.

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