Mets-Dodgers Gambling Advice: How to bet Jacob deGrom vs. Clayton Kershaw

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers
Moneyline: NYM +150/LAD -170
Over/Under: 6.5
Series: NYM +195/LAD -235
First pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET
TV: SNY, ESPN
Probable pitchers: Jacob deGrom (3-5, 3.72 ERA) vs. Clayton Kershaw (4-0, 3.33 ERA)

Just one week ago, the Mets' season was seemingly near obliteration after hitting rock bottom when they were swept in Miami by the lowly Marlins last weekend.

Since then, however, the Amazin's have reeled off six wins in their last seven games to climb back up to the .500 mark. And now they have a chance to get back over that hump on Memorial Day with their staff ace and reigning National League Cy Young Award winner on the hill.

It will also be the club's biggest challenge to date, as not only are the Mets encountering the National League's best team to kick off this seven-game West Coast swing, they'll also be greeted by an elite starter and familiar foe in the form of Kershaw.

Though the future Hall-of-Famer doesn't reside in the NL East, Kershaw has become a nightmare for the Mets throughout the years. In fact, in 13 career meetings, he's a perfect 8-0 to go with a microscopic 1.98 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and .205 batting average against.

Mets regulars Michael Conforto, Todd Frazier, Adeiny Hechavarria and Juan Lagares are collectively hitting a brutal .138 (8-for-58) with just a single run batted in against the left-hander. Carlos Gomez is the only one who has had some success (.292, one homer, four RBI) in the matchup.

Of course, deGrom can respond by putting up his own zeroes, as he typically does no matter the opponent. He appears to be back on the upswing after limiting the Washington Nationals to just three baserunners in six strong innings of one-run ball. It was the fourth time in his last five turns in the rotation that deGrom pitched the Mets into the seventh inning or deeper while yielding no more than a pair of runs.

How I Would Bet This Game

It is extremely rare to catch deGrom as such a sizable underdog (+150 odds), but even so, while that bet may offer value, it's also not the wisest to have action on, given Kershaw's mastery of the Metropolitans throughout his career. Thus, I would advise the under more than anything with the hope that both aces contribute their usual work to pace a low-scoring affair. Kershaw and deGrom are both typically very consistent.

Should You Bet The Series?

The Mets are heating up and with that type of value (+195 odds) for them to take the series, it looks like a pretty good bet. A small wager on them is warranted here.

Tags: Jacob deGrom

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Colorado Rockies at New York Mets
Moneyline: COL+170/NYM -195
Over/Under: 7.5
Series: COL +180/NYM -220
First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
TV: SNY
Probable pitchers: Antonio Senzatela (4-4, 5.33 ERA) vs. Jacob deGrom (3-5, 3.49 ERA)

The Mets have been getting a heavy dosage of the National League West lately and that will continue this weekend with the Rockies in town for a three-game set.

Coming off a series victory over the San Francisco Giants, New York is looking to keep it rolling this evening behind deGrom, who will also be looking to keep up his own personal momentum.

Tags: Jacob deGrom

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres
Moneyline: PHI -135/SD +125
Over/Under: 7.5
Series: PHI -115/SD -115
First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
Probable pitchers: Aaron Nola (6-0, 4.18 ERA) vs. Eric Lauer (4-4, 4.45 ERA)

With the Mets and Yankees off on Draft Monday, let's take a look at an interesting matchup between the NL East leader and another team the Mets will surely be jockeying for position with in the NL Wild Card race.

That would be the Phillies and Padres, who actually just both pulled off inauspicious feats this past weekend similar to what Mets fans experienced all too recently -- Philadelphia was swept out of LA by the Dodgers, while San Diego dropped a series with the league-worst Marlins.

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New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks
Moneyline: NYM -120/ARI +110
Over/Under: 9
Series: NYM -115/ARI -115
First pitch: 9:40 p.m. ET
TV: SNY
Probable pitchers: Zack Wheeler (4-3, 4.63 ERA) vs. Jon Duplantier (1-0, 2.25 ERA)

After dropping three of four in Los Angeles, the Mets head into the back-end of their seven-game West Coast road trip with a series in Arizona on Friday night as road favorites -- which is not very common for a club below the .500 mark when facing a somewhat decent team.

Tags: Pete Alonso, Zack Wheeler

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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers
Moneyline: NYM +160/LAD -180
Over/Under: 7.5
First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
TV: SNY
Probable pitchers: Noah Syndergaard (3-4, 4.93 ERA) vs. Walker Buehler (5-1, 3.58 ERA)

It's pretty rare when Syndergaard gets touched up for more than four earned runs in a start, but that was exactly the case his last time out -- against the Detroit Tigers of all teams, who scratched across six runs against the right-hander despite coming into Citi Field on a nine-game skid.

Tags: Los Angeles Dodgers, Noah Syndergaard

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Washington Nationals at New York Mets
Moneyline: WAS -105/NYM -105
Over/Under: 6.5
First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
Probable pitchers: Jacob deGrom (3-5, 3.98 ERA) vs. Max Scherzer (2-5, 3.72 ERA)

There's an Opening Day rematch set for the third game of this series, as the National League's last two Cy Young Award winners square off tonight at Citi Field.

Tags: Jacob deGrom, Washington Nationals

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New York Mets at Miami Marlins
Moneyline: NYM -205/MIA +175
Over/Under: 6.5
Series: NYM -350/MIA +280
First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
Probable pitchers: Jacob deGrom (3-4, 3.26 ERA) vs. Trevor Richards (0-5, 4.46 ERA)

When the Mets saw Miami last weekend, they entered that series having lost five of six to drop below .500, and in need of a cure-all.

Tags: Miami Marlins

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals

Moneyline: NYM +145/WAS -155
Over/Under: 8
First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: SNY
Probable pitchers: Wilmer Font (1-0, 5.50 ERA) vs. Patrick Corbin (3-1, 3.20 ERA)

After winning three in a row, the Mets are suddenly in position to climb back over the .500 mark. They can do that at the expense of the division rival Nationals, who enter tonight's meeting having lost seven of their last nine to fall into fourth place in the National League East.

Tags: Washington Nationals

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees

Moneyline: BAL +190/NYY -230
Over/Under: 8.5
Series: BAL +355/NYY-435
First pitch: 6:35 p.m. ET
TV: YES
Probable pitchers: David Hess (1-4, 5.50 ERA) vs. Luis Cessa (0-0, 3.32 ERA)

With the New York Mets getting the day off to start the new week, let's explore betting a Yankee game, shall we?

The Bronx Bombers will welcome a familiar division foe into town for a three-game set beginning tonight, as they'll look to continue their mastery of the last-place Orioles. New York has already faced the O's six times this year, winning four of those meetings, and they were 12-7 against Baltimore a year ago.

Tags: Baltimore Orioles

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Miami Marlins at New York Mets

Moneyline: MIA +150/NYM -170
Over/Under: 7
First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
TV: SNY
Probable pitchers: Pablo Lopez (2-4, 4.03 ERA) vs. Zack Wheeler (2-2, 4.64 ERA)

The Mets will get their second crack at the worst team in the league, the Marlins, who enter this three-game set with a pitiful 10-27 record. That mark easily has them anchored in the NL East cellar and, already, a full seven games back of New York in the standings.

Tags: Miami Marlins, Zack Wheeler

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Just two days after he was acquired from the Tampa Bay Rays for a player to be named later, Font will be thrusted into a big spot right away in his Mets debut this afternoon as the Amazins play the series finale of their three-game set with San Diego.

The interesting thing about this is that Font isn't your typical starter. In fact, of his 37 big-league appearances, only five were starting assignments, and even some of those weren't your garden variety, with Font being deployed as the "opener" in Tampa Bay's bullpen game strategy.

Still, the potential is there for Font to come through with a useful outing in his first game in blue and orange. Although he sports some undesirable numbers in the early going, that came exclusively as a reliever.

Tags: Jeff McNeil, Pete Alonso

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One of the most intriguing pitching matchups on the young campaign will be taking place Monday night in San Diego, with the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner meeting someone who could very well win the award in the near-future -- perhaps even as early as this year if his first six starts are any indication.

That would be San Diego's dazzling 23-year-old rookie Paddack, who first gained some steam with a very impressive showing during Spring Training. He's continued to generate a significant buzz since and it's not hard to see why.

Through the first month-and-change of the season, Paddack carries a terrific 1.91 ERA, allowing no more than three runs in any of his outings. He's also produced a superb 0.70 WHIP while holding opponents to a microscopic .126 batting average (!), both numbers ranking him first amongst all big-league starters.

Tags: Jacob deGrom

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For the second consecutive weekend, the Brewers and Mets are getting together for a three-game set -- this time at Miller Park after Milwaukee took two of three in Flushing.

The Amazin's were able to dodge a sweep last Sunday thanks to the services of Matz, who continued his rebound from that eight-run, zero-out first-inning disaster he endured at the hands of the Phillies just a couple of weeks ago....

Tags: Steven Matz

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A longtime Mets nemesis will be making his return to Citi Field this evening when the Amazin's play the opener of a four-game set with the Reds.

Toeing the rubber for 16 starts (and six relief appearances) against the Mets, Roark notched an 8-4 record to go with a 3.07 ERA and 1.11 WHIP during his 2013-18 tenure with the Washington Nationals. He's even been stingier than that when facing them on the road, owning a 2.73 ERA in 12 games (nine starts) in Flushing.

Tags: Jacob deGrom

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A longtime Mets nemesis will be making his return to Citi Field this evening when the Amazin's play the opener of a four-game set with the Reds.

Toeing the rubber for 16 starts (and six relief appearances) against the Mets, Roark notched an 8-4 record to go with a 3.07 ERA and 1.11 WHIP during his 2013-18 tenure with the Washington Nationals. He's even been stingier than that when facing them on the road, owning a 2.73 ERA in 12 games (nine starts) in Flushing.

Tags: Zack Wheeler

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One of the most important games on the young campaign for the Mets comes this evening when the Amazin's open up a three-game set with the struggling Brewers at Citi Field.

All eyes will be on Jacob deGrom as he gets set to make his first start following a concerning stint on the injured list, where he resided with elbow soreness. Not only that, deGrom's arrival on the 10-day IL followed a very curious rough patch that saw the reigning National League Cy Young get tagged for nine runs over two assignments. Just as shocking, neither performance clocked in as a quality start.

Tags: Jacob deGrom

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Jun 23, 2018; New York City, NY, USA; A general view of the field prior to the game between the New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports (Andy Marlin)

If it feels like the Mets just played the Phillies, that's because they indeed did, when the latter took two of three in Philadelphia last week. Tonight's contest begins another three-game set, this time at Citi Field.

Matz won't be able to do any worse than how he fared in the previous series -- so long as there's an out recorded -- as he failed to retire even one batter last Tuesday. Ultimately, eight runs (six earned) went to his name while his ERA soared from 1.65 to 4.96.

Tags: Steven Matz

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Apr 6, 2019; St. Louis, MO, USA; General view of Busch Stadium prior to the game between the St. Louis Cardinals and the San Diego Padres. Mandatory Credit: William Purnell-USA TODAY Sports (William Purnell)

Some pitchers just evoke a certain type of emotion when you spot their name in a pitching matchup. In the case of Vargas -- as Mets fans unfortunately know all too well -- it could be anger. For a bettor, it might be a signal to instantly "fade," or bet against.

There's no question Vargas has been a disappointment since arriving in Flushing last year. After his latest dud, one that saw him record a mere one out last Saturday, the 36-year-old has now crafted a brutal 6.32 ERA in his 22 starts (and one relief appearance) with the Mets. Suffice to say, his days in the rotation could be numbered.

Tags: Jason Vargas

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Mar 28, 2019; Bronx, NY, USA; Fans wait in line to enter Yankee Stadium at gate 6 before a game between the New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles on opening day. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports (Brad Penner)

The first installment of The Rivalry in 2019 wraps up this evening at Yankee Stadium, where the Red Sox and Yankees will play the back-end of their quick two-game set.

As it is, you'd normally be thinking of taking an over when this pair of rivals get together, as they boast two of the best offenses in all of baseball. That feeling is turned up when two struggling starting pitchers are set to do the bidding on the mound.

Tags: J.A. Happ

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The names may look familiar but the stats certainly don't as these two frontline starters enter tonight's Mets-Phillies series opener with a combined ERA of over 10.

Granted, it is just April 15, with both stud right-handers only three starts deep into the campaign, but from a betting perspective, it makes you wonder if the struggles will continue.

Tags: Noah Syndergaard

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