Outside of a couple of ill-advised throws (one of which went for a Victor Cruz touchdown) Manning was fantastic last week, despite a porous offensive line and a lack of a running game. And unlike in real life, three touchdowns and three interceptions still makes for a very good fantasy day.
The Bills have forced a lot of interceptions, but are also the 25th worst fantasy defense against quarterbacks. I expect another strong fantasy day from Manning.
The Giants’ running game has been absolutely dreadful this season, and with the offensive line in flux, no one knows what to expect.
With that said, the Bills are terrible stopping the run, so the Giants will try to make this the week they finally establish the run. The Bills defense is 19th in terms of points allowed to running backs, and if David Baas plays, the matchup is even better.
If past trends repeat themselves, the Giants are going to be throwing a lot on Sunday. Hakeem Nicks is the most talented receiver on the team by a mile, despite garnering less targets than Cruz and Manningham last week. Nothing against those two players, but Nicks needs to be the focus of the passing game, and I’m guessing that Eli and Gilbride will realize this sooner rather than later.
After the numbers he has put up the past three weeks, its hard for me to suggest benching him unless you have some fantastic options on your bench. Although he had a fumble and a drop that resulted in an interception, I still expect Manning to keep looking his way due to his playmaking ability. The Bills allowed Jason Avant to run wild last week, so Cruz could have another great game.
He received nine targets last week, so he’s officially back to being part of the offense. It’s unlikely that he’ll see that many looks each week, with Nicks and Cruz being such big factors in the offense, but the matchup is a good one this week. The Bills defense is 28th against fantasy receivers, and each of the Eagles’ top three got in on the action last week, so Manningham is a solid WR3 this week.
He’s about as big a part of the offense as Kevin Boss was last season, but Boss was never really worth owning.
I can’t trust a unit that just posted a stinker against the Seahawks, who have struggled on the East coast and were down to their backup quarterback. There’s a good chance they’ll come out fired up and deliver a bounce-back performance, but they just can’t be trusted at this point.
Bills worth starting:
You’re not benching the number one overall running back, especially against a Giants defense that has given up big games back to back against lesser talents. And no, that’s no typo; Fred Jackson is currently the highest scoring fantasy running back.
The smartest quarterback in football has had an up, then down season thus far. The Giants defense was terrible last week, but they bottled up Michael Vick and Kevin Kolb, in terms of fantasy points, the two weeks prior. You could do worse for a bye-week fill in, but especially if Justin Tuck is able to play, there is potential for another stinker from Fitzpatrick.
With Fitzpatrick’s play dropping off the last two week, Johnson’s fantasy numbers have suffered. The Giants defense is 22nd against wide receivers, but that number can be deceiving; Corey Webster will likely match up with Johnson, and he has been in top form this season.