TJ Rosenthal of The Jet Report goes inside the offensive numbers of the Jets and the Giants....
Here are some additional numbers and tendencies to keep an eye on this Saturday when the Jets take on the Giants in a much anticipated week 16 matchup.
1-Third Down Conversion percentage:The Jets in 2011 are at 36.46% but only at a 28.95 % in the past 3 games. Their effort at home improves to 41.11% though. Two of the last three games were on the road.
The Giants average a 37.50% conversion rate in 2011 but in the last three games are up to 41.18%
The Jets better perform with conversion numbers more like their season totals than recent totals, given the way the Giants have been able to convert their third downs lately. Otherwise the Jets will be playing from behind, and unable to implement their recent upward trends of a run heavy attack (see below).
Also, the Jets defense is 2nd in the NFL at 4.1% in preventing 3rd down conversions at 5.4%.
The Giants are 23rd in preventing 3rd down conversions on defense at 5.4% .
This may help Gang Green bring Big Blue’s conversion rate down while subtlely boosting the Jets recent ability to keep the chains moving.
2-Yards Per Game Offense:
The Jets (25th) average 306 yards per game but in the past three have dipped to 273.7.
The Giants (8th) average 385.1 this season but have ballooned in the past three weeks to 427.0 mainly due to having to keep up with the Saints and Packers. Last week they dipped again to 324.0.
The Jets defense gives up 317.9 yds per game, so they will hope to bring the Giants offensive numbers down. The Giants defense has given up 385.1 a game so the Jets will hope to, and may be able to, raise their yardage totals on offense.
It will be a “see saw” type of goal for Gang Green. Lower Eli and co. while accumulating more with Sanchez and co.
3-Yards Per Play:The Jets are 27th in the NFL at 4.9 but average a slightly better 5.2 per play at home.
The Giants are 7th in the NFL at 5.9 and an even better 6.0 on the road.
Low yardage tendencies plus the havoc that the Giants pass rush could bring means that the Jets must undoubtedly capitalize on all trips inside the red zone. Since it appears as though it’s harder for them to get down the field than most. When they do land inside the opponents 20, the Jets lead the entire NFL in Red Zone scoring (counting TD’s only) at 68.18%, and are up to 75.00% over the past three games. The Giants are 7th for the year at 57.45%
4-Points By Quarter:The Jets from first to fourth quarter average as follows: 3.4, 8.6, 5.4, 7.4
The Giants lead the NFL in fourth quarter scoring, and score by quarter as follows: 4.5, 6.0, 3.7 9.6
The Jets own a statistical edge in the second and third quarters.
5-Rushing Play Percentage:The Jets have run the ball 44.48% of the time this year but in the past three games that number has ballooned to 52.66% which would rank second overall in the league as a seasonal trend to Denver (52.79%).
The Giants have carried it 39.03% of plays from scrimmage but have dropped to 34.50% over the past three weeks. Again partly due to trailing in all three games they’ve played in the second half. Detroit is the NFL’s least run based team in 2011 at 34.57%.
Last week the Jets rushed 45.00% of the game which doesn’t appear to be the direction they want to head in. For Big Blue on offense this year, it’s been about the rise of Eli Manning. It’s had to be. The Giants are last in the NFL at 86.1 yards per game on the ground.