Once this year's free agency signing period got underway, the Jets moved fast to secure their top target, wide receiver Eric Decker. The addition of Decker bolsters the Jets' much-maligned receiving corps, as he was one of the most productive receivers in the NFL over the past two seasons. However, most experts agree that it's going to be difficult for him to replicate that kind of production now that he won't have future hall-of-famer Peyton Manning throwing him the ball.

So, we can probably expect some kind of drop-off in terms of his statistical production. However, can we use statistical data from previous seasons to try and quantify the scale of the drop-off?

The answer, of course, is no. There are far too many variables at play that any numerical data analysis can't account for. Still, that doesn't mean we can't look at what these variables are and what will have the biggest influence upon how close he can get to the anticipated numbers. That's what we'll do after the jump.

Football Perspective Study

The best place to start is with this article from Chase Stuart on Football Perspective. You may have read this before, because I linked to it when I did my Eric Decker BGA scouting report (where I discussed similar themes in terms of free agent wideouts signed by the Jets in the "Potential Downside" section).

While Stuart's article attempts to do what I've already conceded isn't possible and project how successful Decker will be by comparing him to similar players who switched teams at the equivalent point of their career, it does give some sense of the probability of a move like this working out.

Stuart's conclusion was that, while there were a couple of high profile receivers who give "receivers moving teams in their prime" a bad name (notably Peerless Price and Alvin Harper), Decker isn't a close enough comparison to enough players from the past to draw any definitive conclusions. Ultimately, Stuart seemed pretty optimistic about Decker's chances of continuing to be a productive receiver as he transitions into a number one receiver role and felt it was a good move that provided an "enormous upgrade" at the position.

If you missed this article first time around, make sure you check it out this time.

FiveThirtyEight.com Study

Taking this analysis one step further is this analysis article from ESPN-owned "data journalism" site FiveThirtyEight.com. Neil Paine writes, not about Eric Decker, but about DeSean Jackson and what we can expect from him in Washington. This is still relevant to Decker, though, because he meets the same criteria as Jackson and therefore the data and conclusions drawn therefrom can also be applied to Decker in a discussion of what we can expect from him with the Jets.

Paine and Stuart are actually former colleagues who used to write for the Pro Football Reference blog. Stuart's site does use statistics from PFR, although his Decker analysis was just based on fantasy numbers. Paine's analysis, on the other hand, uses PFR's AV metric to try and quantify a player's influence in the season before they switched teams and how much of a drop-off there was in the following season. We'll discuss the AV metric in the next section, but Paine concludes that there is usually a drop-off, although not necessarily a large one.

Paine's final conclusion says that the data suggests Jackson is unlikely to emulate his career-best performance and therefore, by extension, we can assume he would draw the same conclusions about Decker. Again, though, the data makes it difficult to quantify how far such numbers would typically drop.

Analyzing AV

Just by way of an explanation, here's how the AV (Approximate Value) metric works. What AV aims to do is, as the name suggests, assign a value to each player's statistical contribution over the course of their career. Broadly speaking, each team has a certain amount of points to divide between all the players on the roster and this is weighted so, for example, an above average offense will have more points to divide between its players than an inferior offense.

Since it works that way, it measures your contribution with regard to all 32 teams rather than your own team. So, if Decker's 2014 numbers are identical to his 2013 numbers, but he's making a much bigger contribution to the Jets offense in terms of his proportion of the total yardage than he was in Denver, that won't affect his AV much. As an example, Dustin Keller's production in 2009 was slightly below his 2008 numbers (three catches and 13 yards less) and as a result his AV dropped from 6 to 5. However, as a proportion of total passing yardage his production jumped from 16% to 22%. If you can say a player's value to the offense as a whole increased (and that's what we'd expect as Decker moved from being a second or third option in Denver to being the Jets' primary option), then maybe a study based on numbers quantifying a player's contribution to their team would provide a more interesting set of results.

Whether or not you agree with the AV metric, it does go beyond the metrics from sites like Football Outsiders or Pro Football Focus in terms of historical context, because it goes all the way back to the beginning. This makes it particularly instructive in terms of projecting a player's Hall-of-Fame worthiness. However, in terms of being a projection tool, it doesn't currently appear to be any more useful than just using yardage totals.

Interestingly, there is a discussion on the methodology page about introducing a touchdown bonus into the AV numbers. Had they done that, then Decker's AV over the past two years (24 touchdowns) would be that much higher and if we did use AV to try to put a number on the amount by which his production might drop off, then including a touchdown bonus co-efficient would produce a better projection.

Mining the Comments

In the above links, there's wisdom to be found beyond the original articles themselves, as the 538 commentariat in particular raise several issues which Paine didn't address in his article. These are worth a read too.

Issues raised include age, having to learn a new system, chemistry with the new quarterback, recent sample size and injuries (although Paine makes a reasonable rebuttal to this one). Another big one - one which clearly applies in Decker's case - is that the offense and/or quarterback for the new team often isn't as good as the one that the player is leaving. The point is also well-made that even if a player's statistical production might drop, they might make up for that with the intangible value of how much the other players on the team benefit from the defensive attention the new guy draws.

Maybe the best point of all is raised not in the comments, but by Paine himself during the article, where he admits that you would expect a drop-off from any group of players that were pre-selected based on past performance. Since the criteria they were looking for was good receivers that changed teams, you could expect the following year's performance from that same group to regress to the mean on the whole. Add in the other issues above - everybody being one year older, in a new system and the potential for injuries to eat into statistical production and you suddenly have a raft of reasons for the expected drop-off with the new team, some of which will not apply in each individual case.

The Absolute Best and Worst Case Scenario

When I think back over the years to a receiver switching teams in his prime, two examples immediately spring to mind, neither of which are included in either of the above studies (although one is mentioned in the comments).

For the worst case scenario, consider David Boston. Boston just fell short of the AV threshold (he was at 9, but the data was based on players with an AV of 10 or above), but he's arguably the biggest cautionary tale in terms of big money wide receiver signings. He was coming off a 70 catch, seven touchdown season where he would have exceeded 1,000 yards (and had an AV of 10 or above) if he didn't miss a couple of games. Miami acquired him and he would play just five times for them, catching four passes.

This was certainly an unusual set of circumstances. Miami had only given up a sixth-round pick for Boston, but they inherited the last six years of a massive $47m, seven-year contract. Boston was suspended for steroid abuse, tore up his knee and missed the whole season. He was then cut, re-signed and was totally ineffective in season two as he had bulked up far too much and lost too much speed and agility.

If the spirit of these studies is to consider when a player moves from the team where he had initial success, then Boston had arguably already made his "prime years move" when he signed for San Diego. That came after a season where he missed eight games, but he had a 98-catch, 1,598 yard season in the year prior to that. Average out the production over those two seasons and his performance in San Diego was what you'd usually expect based on the rest of this data: A slight drop-off. (For the record, he was traded for his laziness in practice and "moody personality". I think we can guess where that moodiness came from.)

The Boston case was such a unique set of circumstances that it holds little predictive use. However, it does serve to underscore how difficult it is to make any kind of definitive projection because you never know what's going to affect the outcome.

For your best case scenario, consider Santana Moss. Moss went from the Jets to Washington and exploded for career highs in receptions (84) and yardage (1,483). Moss isn't included in the 538 dataset because, like Boston, he had achieved an AV of over 10 in a previous season, but not in the one preceding his move. (You might recall me writing several times before about how disappointed I was with Moss's performances and effort during the 2004 season). Moss's improvement in AV from his last year in New York to his first year in Washington was far better than the best two cases in Paine's dataset (Brandon Marshall and Vincent Jackson).

There were a few reasons for this, but the biggest of these was scheme fit. Moss, one of the league's top deep threats was leaving a team where the head coach and offensive coordinator's conservative nature and the lack of arm strength of their quarterback meant that they hardly ever threw deep. That's another factor not taken into account above. If anything, that should give us more confidence that Decker's performance won't deviate too far from expectations, because he's a solid route runner that should be capable of getting open in any system.

As I said, there were a few reasons for this, so just for completeness, the others as I see them were as follows: First of all, Moss was traded, so unlike most of the players in this study, his final year with his old team wasn't a contract year for him. That might explain what I considered to be disappointing effort that season. Secondly, he was bothered by a hamstring injury in the middle of the 2004 season, so perhaps that hurt his production.

Conclusions

On the basis of these two studies, which use similar but not identical methodology and data sets, we can surmise that a player in Decker's situation often sees their statistical production drop off in their first year with their new team. Based on the data sets analyzed by Paine and Stuart, the average drop off doesn't seem to be so significant that the Jets would end up disappointed with their financial outlay.

However, the most important takeaway from this is that Decker's production might drop off by more than the average or by less than the average. Or maybe it will increase. There's no way of knowing and there are plenty of factors at play. While we can predict some of these things with reasonable accuracy, there are others where it is simply impossible to know what will happen.

While there are a few things you could do to take this type of analysis one step further, it's probably not worthwhile in the grand scheme of things. The Jets may hope they got a good one in Decker, but the fates will decide whether or not this proves to be a good move. While history may suggest there's a good chance, there are no guarantees either way.

Tags: BGA, Bent Double

Behind the scenes at Jets camp 00:01:48
SNY delivers an all-access behind the scenes recap of Jets minicamp, including all the sights and sounds from Florham Park.

SNY delivers an all-access behind the scenes recap of Jets minicamp, including all the sights and sounds from Florham Park.

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New York Jets owner Woody Johnson before the preseason game at MetLife Stadium. (Vincent Carchietta)
New York Jets owner Woody Johnson before the preseason game at MetLife Stadium. (Vincent Carchietta)

President Donald Trump plans to nominate Jets' owner Woody Johnson as the US Ambassador to the United Kingdom, the team confirmed on Thursday.

In the case that Johnson is nominated and confirmed by the US Senate, he would hand over his duties as Chairman and CEO to his brother, Christopher Johnson, who will directly oversee the team's day-to-day operations.

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Part 2 of Jets mini-camp 00:02:01
SNY delivers part 2 of an all-access behind-the-scenes recap of New York Jets minicamp, including the sights and sounds from Florham Park.

SNY delivers an all-access behind the scenes recap of Jets minicamp, including all the sights and sounds from Florham Park.

Click here to watch Part 1

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 ( Adam Hunger)
( Adam Hunger)

Jets DE Sheldon Richardson says head coach Todd Bowles has been more strict than in the past, per Darryl Slater of NJ.com. 

Bowles has been left with a young team following the Jets' roster purge that including veterans like C Nick Mangold and LB David Harris. With his job possibly in jeopardy, he has been putting emphasis on working harder.

"It's completely different from the last couple years," Richardson said at minicamp. "A lot more strict now. We weren't loose [in the past], but it's a lot more strict now. It's even more enforced than what it has been in the past."

Tags: Brandon Marshall, David Harris, Muhammad Wilkerson, Nick Mangold, Sheldon Richardson
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New York Jets quarterback Christian Hackenberg (5) watches from the sidelines during the fourth quarter against the Buffalo Bills at MetLife Stadium. (Brad Penner)
New York Jets quarterback Christian Hackenberg (5) watches from the sidelines during the fourth quarter against the Buffalo Bills at MetLife Stadium. (Brad Penner)

Bent, theJetsBlog.com

Preseason Stats: 17-for-47, 159 yards, one touchdown, two interceptions, 1-15 rushing, one fumble

Regular Season Stats: Did Not Play

Tags: Christian Hackenberg
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 (Noah K. Murray)
(Noah K. Murray)

Jets LB Lorenzo Mauldin turned himself in to authorities Wednesday morning in Manhattan for his alleged role in a nightclub attack that took place on April 2, according to TMZ Sports.

Mauldin, who is also being sued in civil court, was not arrested or charged after the incident. The Jets said earlier this month that they're aware of the lawsuit but had no further comment.

An NFL spokesman told ESPN's Rich Cimini that the league is looking into the incident. 

Tags: Lorenzo Mauldin
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 (Timothy T. Ludwig)
(Timothy T. Ludwig)

Former Jets LB David Harris has agreed to a two-year deal with the New England Patriots worth $6.75 million, according to Adam Schefter of ESPN.

The Patriots offered Harris more than the Jets offered him earlier this month prior to his release, reports Mike Florio of NBC Sports.

Harris visited with the Patriots on Wednesday after speaking with head coach Bill Belichick (and coaches from five other teams) earlier this week, notes Florio.

Tags: David Harris
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Los Angeles Rams former and Pro Football Hall of Fame linebacker Kevin Greene attends a NFL football game at between the Miami Dolphins and the Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. (Kirby Lee)
Los Angeles Rams former and Pro Football Hall of Fame linebacker Kevin Greene attends a NFL football game at between the Miami Dolphins and the Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. (Kirby Lee)

The Jets were one of the worst pass-rushing teams in the NFL last year, finishing the season wtih just 27 sacks, and only 5.5 of them coming from the team's outside linebackers.

Todd Bowles brought in former NFL linebacker Kevin Greene as New York's new linebackers coach, and Greene has already expressed optimism towards his young group of players.

"The sky's the limit for all my kids," Greene told Daniel Popper of the Daily News. "I'm teaching my kids technique and fundamentals not based on athletic ability and skill. It's based on physicality. It's based on drive and desire and want-to and being a student of the game. ... All my kids can really be as good they want to be."

Tags: Darron Lee, Jordan Jenkins
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 (Mike Dinovo)
(Mike Dinovo)

The Jets have signed former Bears WR Marquess Wilson, per ESPN's Adam Schefter.

Wilson only played in three games last season as he was on the IR with a broken foot. He is a big target, standing at 6-foot-4, 205 pounds, and will add some competition before training camp begins.

In four seasons with the Bears, Wilson played in 31 games, hauling in 56 receptions for 777 yards and 3 touchdowns. 

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 (Dennis Schneidler)
(Dennis Schneidler)

The Jets new running backs coach, Stump Mitchell, believes RB Bilal Powell has Pro Bowl ability, according to ESPN's Rich Cimini. 

Mitchell has been impressed with Powell since joining the Jets this season, and he thinks if he didn't have to share time with another back, he has would attain Pro Bowl status. 

"Bilal is a Pro Bowl back if he was playing by himself, make no doubt about that," Mitchell said at minicamp.

Tags: Bilal Powell
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Jacksonville Jaguars running back Chris Ivory is tackled by New York Jets outside linebacker Jordan Jenkins during the first quarter of a preseason game at MetLife Stadium. (Brad Penner/USA Today Sports Images)
Jacksonville Jaguars running back Chris Ivory is tackled by New York Jets outside linebacker Jordan Jenkins during the first quarter of a preseason game at MetLife Stadium. (Brad Penner/USA Today Sports Images)

Bent, theJetsBlog.com

Projected Starters: Jordan Jenkins, Lorenzo Mauldin

Projected Backups: Dylan Donahue, Josh Martin

Tags: Deion Barnes, Jordan Jenkins, Lorenzo Mauldin, Mike Catapano, Muhammad Wilkerson, Sheldon Richardson
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GEICO SportsNite: Jets minicamp 00:02:24
Quarterback Christian Hackenberg and defensive lineman Sheldon Richardson break down Jets minicamp and their expectations for the season.

Quarterback Christian Hackenberg and Defensive Lineman Sheldon Richardson break down Jets minicamp and their expectations for the season.

Tags: Christian Hackenberg, Sheldon Richardson
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Former Jets LB Larry Grantham dies at age 78: Larry Grantham, a member of the Jets' only Super Bowl team in 1969, died on Tuesday at the age of 78. Apart from being a Super Bowl Champion, Grantham has been enshrined in the Jets Ring of Honor as well. 

Elsewhere in New York sports the Mets dropped a slugfest to the Dodgers, the Yankees lose their top prospect to injury, and the NBA draft is just two days away. 

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 ( Adam Hunger)
( Adam Hunger)

The Jets' roster purge and commitment to begin rebuilding this season earned them a "C+" offseason grade, per ESPN's Rich Cimini.

As the offseason is normally used to rebuild rosters, the Jets tore theirs down thanks to move made by owner Woody Johnson. Among the roster cuts were LB David Harris and WR Eric Decker, which saved the Jets almost $14 million in payroll alone. C Nick Mangold and CB Darrelle Revis were also part of the 11 veterans the Jets go rid of this offseason. 

Cimini said the grade should be worse considering the Jets now have one of the worst rosters in the NFL, but looking at the big picture, the Jets are acknowledging their rebuild and will have $80 million to work with next offseason.

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New York Jets running back Bilal Powell leaps over Miami Dolphins safety Isa Abdul-Quddus during the second quarter at MetLife Stadium. (Brad Penner/USA Today Sports Images)
New York Jets running back Bilal Powell leaps over Miami Dolphins safety Isa Abdul-Quddus during the second quarter at MetLife Stadium. (Brad Penner/USA Today Sports Images)

Bent, theJetsBlog.com

Projected Starter: Matt Forte

Projected Backups: Bilal Powell, Elijah McGuire

Tags: Bilal Powell, Matt Forte
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GEICO SportsNite: Larry Grantham 00:00:26
Michelle Yu reports on the passing of former Jets linebacker Larry Grantham, a member of the Jets Ring of Honor, who was 78 years old.

The Jets announced former LB Larry Grantham, a Ring of Honor member and Super Bowl III champion, has died at age 78.

Grantham opted to join the AFL's New York Titans despite being drafted in the NFL by the Baltimore Colts in 1960. The Titans became the Jets in 1963, and Grantham would stay with them until his retirement in 1972. 

He was the starting linebacker for the Jets' Super Bowl III championship team where he called all the plays on defense. Grantham played in 175 career games, and was a five-time AFL All-Star and a five-time all-NFL selection. 

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GEICO SportsNite: Jets receivers 00:01:37
Jeane Coakley talks to Quincy Enunwa to discuss his expectations for himself and the young receivers for the upcoming season.

SNY's Jeane Coakley talks to Quincy Enunwa after the conclusion of Jets minicamp to discuss his expectations for the upcoming season.

Tags: Quincy Enunwa
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Former Jets wide receiver signed a deal with the Tennessee Titans on Sunday.  (Bill Wippert/AP)
Former Jets wide receiver signed a deal with the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. (Bill Wippert/AP)

Former Jets wide receiver Eric Decker is now a Tennessee Titan after agreeing to a deal on Sunday. 

Elsewhere, Jacob deGrom homers, the Yankees drop their sixth straight, Bradley Wright-Phillips scores twice and the Rangers, Islanders and Devils announce their protected players list ahead of the NHL Expansion Draft. 

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Eric Decker (Ed Mulholland/USA TODAY Sports)
Eric Decker (Ed Mulholland/USA TODAY Sports)

Former Jets wide receiver Eric Decker agreed to a contract with the Tennessee Titans, the team announced Sunday.

Decker, 30, played 33 games with the Jets over the past three seasons, totaling 163 catches, 2,183 receiving yards and 19 touchdowns.

Decker had appeared healthy entering organized team activities in May after he missed 13 games last season due to rotator cuff and hip injuries.

New York released him last Monday when they were unable to find a trading partner. The Jets will face a $1.5 million cap hit this year and next after releasing Decker.

Tags: Eric Decker, Tennessee Titans
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 (Ed Mulholland)
(Ed Mulholland)

RB Matt Forte says the Jets aren't tanking the season, despite the fact that they've cut the majority of their veteran players this offseason.

"It's a good thing we don't operate off of what the fans think and what everybody on the outside thinks," Forte said, according to The Record. "What we think as a team, that's what's going to happen. And none of us on the team think that we're going to tank. So all I have to say about that is: Bring it."

The Jets, who went 5-11 last season, have cut Brandon MarshallEric DeckerDavid HarrisDarrelle RevisNick MangoldNick Folk, and Breno Giacomini since the season ended. They also declined their option on Ryan Clady.

Tags: Matt Forte
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 (Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports)
(Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports)

Ralph Vacchiano Facebook | Twitter | Archive

EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. - It's really quite an accomplishment for the Jets to come off a disappointing and perhaps disastrous 5-11 season and find a way to get worse. But they did it. They purged their roster of most of their veterans and replaced them with untested, unknown players. They're playing the long game, even though their short term looks rather bleak.

Who knows if they're "tanking" with their eyes on a top draft pick next season? Maybe they're just acknowledging the need to experience short-term pain for long-term gain. Whatever it is, there isn't a lot of hope for the 2017 season. Their eyes are on 2018, or perhaps beyond.

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Rookie Marcus Maye on minicamp 00:01:51
SNY's Jeane Coakley chats with Jets rookie safety Marcus Maye about his first minicamp in the NFL.

SNY's Jeane Coakley chats with Jets rookie safety Marcus Maye about his first minicamp in the NFL.

The Jets selected Maye in the second round of Apri's NFL Draft.

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Jets quarterbacks practice during minicamp on Wednesday. (Julio Cortez/AP)
Jets quarterbacks practice during minicamp on Wednesday. (Julio Cortez/AP)

Jets coach Todd Bowles said Thursday there is no frontrunner for the srarting quarterback job. 

Elsewhere, the Yankees lose in extra innings, Juan Lagares is injurede in a Mets loss and the Giants ink their first-round pick. 

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GEICO SportsNite: Jets 00:02:10
Jeane Coakley talks to Jets coach Todd Bowles as they wrap up spring practices about the quarterback competition and the rookie safeties.

Jeane Coakley talks to Jets coach Todd Bowles as they wrap up spring practices about the quarterback competition and the rookie safeties.


 (Noah K. Murray)
(Noah K. Murray)

Jets DE Sheldon Richardson wants to stay with the team for the rest of his caeer, but is not open to giving a hometown discount. 

The Jets, who finished 5-11 last season, are entering a rebuilding phase. But Richardson wants to be a part of it.

"A lot of guys just want to go jump on a bandwagon," Richardson told Manish Mehta of the NY Daily News earlier this week. "Older guys. Later in their career, it's easy to go jump into a good situation. It's a free market, so by all means, do your thing. But me personally, I like to make history, not be a part of it."

Tags: Sheldon Richardson
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 ( Adam Hunger)
( Adam Hunger)

Jets head coach Todd Bowles insinuated the team's starting QB is job still up for grabs, noting Thursday that there is currently no frontrunner.

The Jets, who are expected to turn to Josh McCown as their starter, have also been giving reps to Christian Hackenberg and Bryce Petty.

McCown, 37, signed a one-year deal worth $6 million this offseason.

Tags: Bryce Petty, Christian Hackenberg
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New York Jets inside linebacker Demario Davis (56) comes away with a fumble recovery during the fourth quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles at MetLife Stadium. (Steven Ryan)
New York Jets inside linebacker Demario Davis (56) comes away with a fumble recovery during the fourth quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles at MetLife Stadium. (Steven Ryan)

Jets linebacker Demario Davis took a $2.7 million pay cut in order to help facilitate the trade that brought him back to New York, according to Field Yates of ESPN.

Davis, who was set to earn $3.7 million in the final year of his contract, will now make $1 million this season. This includes a $100,000 signing bonus and a $900,000 base salary. He can also earn $1.225 million in incentives. 

Davis re-structured his contract at the time of the June 1 trade. 

Tags: Demario Davis
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 (Julio Cortez/AP)
(Julio Cortez/AP)

Jets quarterbacks coach Jeremy Bates said he was impressed with Christian Hackenberg's passing in minicamp. 

Elsewhere, Yankees lose and Mets win their respective rubber games and Joe Girardi would have no problem with Aaron Judge in the Home Run Derby.

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GEICO SportsNite: New York Jets 00:01:57
Jeane Coakley breaks down the latest from the New York Jets training facility as Quincy Enunwa talks about his new role in the offense.

 (Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports)
(Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports)

Despite evidence to the contrary, Jets quarterbacks coach Jeremy Bates has been impressed with Christian Hackenberg's passing in minicamp, according to Daniel Popper of the New York Daily News. 

Bates, who previously coached the team's quarterbacks in 2005, likes the precision of Hackenberg's passes thus far at camp. 

Tags: Christian Hackenberg
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Jets DE Muhammad Wilkerson, who struggled in 2016, said he's ready to rebound this season.

"I want to pretty much have one of my best years ever," Wilkerson said Wednesday, according to the NY Post. "I plan on being dominant."

The 27-year-old Wilkerson, who signed a five-year deal worth $86 million before last season, had 4.5 sacks, 58 tackles, and one forced fumble in 15 games. He had ammassed 12.0 sacks in 2015.

Wilkerson said the leg he broke during the final game in 2015 was strong enough to play on last season, but that it impacted his performance. And he bristled at those who suggested he was mailing it in.

Tags: Muhammad Wilkerson
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 (Ed Mulholland/USA TODAY Sports)
(Ed Mulholland/USA TODAY Sports)

Jets QB Christian Hackenberg has been making lots of awful throws this spring -- first during OTAs and again on Tuesday when minicamp began.

A few of the team's beat writers tweeted during OTAs that Hackenberg had been hitting those on the sidelines with errant throws. On Tuesday at minicamp, one of those throws was filmed...

Tags: Christian Hackenberg
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New York Jets quarterbacks Josh McCown (15), Christian Hackenberg (5) and Bryce Petty (9) work out during NFL football practice, Tuesday, June 13, 2017, in Florham Park, N.J. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez) (Julio Cortez/AP)
New York Jets quarterbacks Josh McCown (15), Christian Hackenberg (5) and Bryce Petty (9) work out during NFL football practice, Tuesday, June 13, 2017, in Florham Park, N.J. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez) (Julio Cortez/AP)

Josh McCown is still standing in front of Christian Hackenberg for the starting quarterback role. 

Elsewhere, Odell Beckham Jr. speaks, and the Yankees and Mets both have their respective win streaks snapped. 

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GEICO SportsNite: Jets 00:02:02
Darron Lee, Lorenzo Mauldin and Leonard Williams are surprised by the Jets' decision to release David Harris and Eric Decker.

 ( Adam Hunger)
( Adam Hunger)

Ralph Vacchiano Facebook | Twitter | Archive

It doesn't seem to make any sense that the Jets are rebuilding and going with young players at every position, but they will almost certainly be led by a 38-year-old quarterback. Everywhere else, the Jets purged their roster of veterans so the young players could get an unimpeded opportunity.

Yet McCown, who has no viable future with the Jets beyond this season, still stands in second-year pro Christian Hackenberg's way.

Tags: Christian Hackenberg
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 ( Adam Hunger)
( Adam Hunger)

Jets quarterback Josh McCown said he has been working with younger quarterbacks Christian Hackenberg and Bryce Petty in the team's mandatory minicamp this week.

The veteran 37-year-old, who signed a one-year deal with the Jets this off-season, said Hackenberg and Petty have often asked him questions as they continue to learn the quarterback position.

Tags: Bryce Petty, Christian Hackenberg
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 (Noah K. Murray)
(Noah K. Murray)

Jets DE Sheldon Richardson wasn't afraid to voice his disapproval of the Jets cutting veteran LB David Harris, per Manish Mehta of NY Daily News. 

Jets owner, Woody Johnson, made the call to cut Harris as he looks to shed payroll for the upcoming season. Upon hearing the news, Richardson said what many were most likely thinking. 

"It shocked the s--t out of me," Richardson said. "It is a business. But after a while it don't become a business. Dave wasn't (greedy). I know him, so I know he would have taken something (a fair and reasonable pay cut). I know he wasn't busting nobody over there. He don't want to play for free, either."

Tags: Sheldon Richardson
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 (Jim O'Connor)
(Jim O'Connor)

Former Jets WR Kenbrell Thompkins is among 12 players trying out for the Jets at minicamp Monday, per AP's Dennis Waszak. Jr.

Thompkins, who didn't play in the league last year, spent the 2015 season with the Jets. He played in seven games, hauling in 17 receptions for 165 yards. 

Other notables on the list are former Jaguars RB Denard Robinson, veteran WR Dexter McCluster, and RB Bobby Rainey, who spent time with the Giants last season. 

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Jacksonville Jaguars running back Denard Robinson (16) runs the ball during the first quarter of a preseason NFL football game against the Pittsburgh Steelers at EverBank Field. (Reinhold Matay)
Jacksonville Jaguars running back Denard Robinson (16) runs the ball during the first quarter of a preseason NFL football game against the Pittsburgh Steelers at EverBank Field. (Reinhold Matay)

Former Jacksonville Jaguars running back Denard Robinson is trying out with the Jets at minicamp this week, Robinson's agency announced on Twitter Tuesday morning.

Robinson carried the ball 41 times for 144 yards last season, appearing in 14 games for the Jaguars.

In four seasons in the NFL, Robinson has rushed the ball 263 times for 1,058 yards, averaging 4.0 yards per carry, with five touchdowns. The 26-year old back has added 47 receptions for 310 yards, all during the last three years.

The former Michigan quarterback had a tryout with the Bears last month, but left without a contract.

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New York Jets wide receiver Eric Decker (87) runs on the field for the first half of an NFL football game against the New England Patriots Sunday, Dec. 27, 2015, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) (Seth Wenig/AP)
New York Jets wide receiver Eric Decker (87) runs on the field for the first half of an NFL football game against the New England Patriots Sunday, Dec. 27, 2015, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) (Seth Wenig/AP)

After failing to find a trade partner, the Jets released wide receiver Eric Decker on Monday. 

Elsewhere, the Yankees and Mets continued their winning streaks, and made selections in the MLB Draft, 

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New York Jets defensive tackle Leonard Williams celebrates with defensive end Sheldon Richardson after Richardson's tackle against the San Francisco 49ers during the fourth quarter at Levi's Stadium. (Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports)
New York Jets defensive tackle Leonard Williams celebrates with defensive end Sheldon Richardson after Richardson's tackle against the San Francisco 49ers during the fourth quarter at Levi's Stadium. (Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports)

Bent, theJetsBlog.com

Projected starters: Leonard Williams, Muhammad Wilkerson, Steve McLendon

Projected backups: Sheldon Richardson, Lawrence Thomas, Deon Simon

Tags: Deon Simon, Leonard Williams, Muhammad Wilkerson, Sheldon Richardson, Steve McLendon
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GEICO SportsNite: Jets 00:01:34
New York Jets tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins discusses his role in the Jets offense and his mindset heading into camp.

New York Jets wide receiver Eric Decker before the game against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. (Kevin Jairaj/USA TODAY Sports)
New York Jets wide receiver Eric Decker before the game against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. (Kevin Jairaj/USA TODAY Sports)

The Jets released wide receiver Eric Decker on Monday after they were unable to find a team as a trading partner.

"We think very highly of Eric. Our focus right now is seeing our young players, how they do," GM Mike Maccagnan said earlier this week in a press release.

New York had reportedly discussed trading Decker to the Baltimore Ravens among other teams, however were unable to eat enough of Decker's $8.75 million cap hit for 2017 to make the numbers work, according to SNY.tv's Ralph Vacchiano.

Tags: Eric Decker
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Indianapolis Colts running back Jordan Todman returns a kickoff against the Minnesota Vikings in the first quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. (Bruce Kluckhohn/USA TODAY Sports)
Indianapolis Colts running back Jordan Todman returns a kickoff against the Minnesota Vikings in the first quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. (Bruce Kluckhohn/USA TODAY Sports)

The New York Jets are expected to sign running back and kick returner Jordan Todman to a contract, according to ESPN's Adam Caplan.

Todman, 27, recorded 59 rushing yards on nine attempts in 16 games last season for the Indianapolis Colts. As a kick returner, he totaled 16 returns for 478 yards, including a 99-yard return for a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers in Week 9.

A sixth-round pick in the 2011 NFL Draft by the San Diego Chargers, Todman played 33 games with the Jacksonville Jaguars from 2012 to 2014 and played 11 games with the Pittsburgh Steelers in 2015. 

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 (Ed Mulholland/USA TODAY Sports)
(Ed Mulholland/USA TODAY Sports)

The old battle cry from venters that "You can't tell the players without a scorecard" has never felt more appropriate than it does now, heading into the Jets' full-team minicamp. So many familiar names and faces are gone. Really, almost every familiar name and face is gone.

The Jets might want to consider handing out nametags, too.

For better or for worse - and yes, it's likely for worse - the Jets get their first, full look at the purged roster that GM Mike Maccagnan has assembled when their three-day minicamp kicks off on Tuesday morning. They have so much work to do - work that likely won't be completed until 2018, or perhaps later - and so many questions to answer.

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 (Ed Mulholland/USA TODAY Sports)
(Ed Mulholland/USA TODAY Sports)

Bent, theJetsBlog.com

Projected starter: Josh McCown

Projected back-ups: Christian Hackenberg, Bryce Petty

Tags: Bryce Petty, Christian Hackenberg, Geno Smith, Ryan Fitzpatrick
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 (Timothy T. Ludwig)
(Timothy T. Ludwig)

The Jets have announced they have waived LB Randell Johnson.

A seventh-round pick by the Bills in 2014, Johnson didn't record a stat with the Jets last season, only playing in a single game. 

Johnson played two seasons with the Bills, recording five total tackles and one fumble recovery in 15 games. 

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 (Mike Dinovo (USA Today))
(Mike Dinovo (USA Today))

Recently-retired QB Jay Cutler said he 'balked' at the potential of signing quickly with the Jets this offseason before the team signed Josh McCown.

Cutler was contacted by the Jets soon after being released by the Bears but wasn't ready to make up his mind on his next move.

"I kind of balked at that because I didn't really want to jump into anything," Cutler told Adam Schefter of ESPN earlier this week. "Whether they would've offered me a contract or that it would've worked out, I have no idea. That's something the Jets know more than I know."

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Spencer Paysinger heads onto the field before a game against the San Diego Chargers. (AP)
Spencer Paysinger heads onto the field before a game against the San Diego Chargers. (AP)

The Jets have signed former Giants and Dolphins linebacker Spencer Paysingerthe team announced Friday morning.

Paysinger spent the last two years with the Dolphins, appearing in 29 games (three starts) and recording 83 tackles. 

The 6-foot-2, 249 pound Paysinger joined the Giants as an undrafted free agent following the 2011 NFL Draft. He spent four seasons in New York, and was a part of the Super Bowl XLVI championship team.

In his six NFL seasons, Paysinger has played in 91 games (17 starts) and has racked up 157 tackles on defense and 70 more on special teams.

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