One of the featured writers they added to their roster was draft scouting guru and former TJB Podcast guest Matt Miller, who - along with several other film junkies - is spearheading the B/R NFL 1000 project, where they attempt to rank the NFL's top 1,000 players. The project is now into its third year and they've just started releasing this year's results. For more on how the project works go here.
Their analysis of Cumberland's hands says this:
The New York Jets were expecting a breakout season from Jeff Cumberland (6’4”, 260 lbs, four seasons), but it didn’t turn out that way. He has good hands but will struggle extending his arms and high-pointing the ball. At times, he will lose concentration and turn to run before securing the pass, which leads to drops.Read Bent's thoughts after the jump.
As we've worked our way through this series, aside from the pattern of Jets players being poorly ranked, I'm increasingly finding examples within the analysis of evaluations I either disagree with or which are indisputably incorrect. For example, I was particularly surprised to read their description of Breno Giacomini - a player notorious for having shorter than usual arms for an offensive tackle - as a long-armed wall at right tackle. Still, the sheer scale of the project should not be underestimated and it does provide is with interesting discussion fodder over the offseason, so I will persevere with sharing and critiquing their evaluations.
I do completely agree with the analysis of Cumberland's hands and that was the one area where the veteran Winslow was clearly more accomplished than Cumberland. I'd like to see him improve in that area, along with his awareness in hot-read situations.
Where I disagree with the analysis is that they've only given Cumberland a score of 1/10 for his blocking. Cumberland isn't a consistently dominant blocker by any means, but he had certainly improved last season, as Rex Ryan pointed out on more than one occasion. Winslow, on the other hand, was hardly ever employed as a blocker and did the bare minimum whenever he was. Winslow's blocking score was 3/10 and his overall score was only two ahead of Cumberland, so that accounted for the difference between them.
If we therefore attribute not noticing Cumberland's improvements as a blocker to an oversight, you could probably make a case for Cumberland to be in the top 20, which is surprising. The most surprising thing was that Heath Miller was only 37th, just ahead of players like ex-Jets Matthew Mulligan and Ben Hartsock.
Turning to the running back position, I would say their analysis of both Powell and Ivory is fair. It's worth noting, however, that Ivory scores a 1/10 for receiving, on the basis that they hardly use him in that role. This means he scores 75/91 for all non-receiving aspects of being a running back. This is actually better than Ray Rice, who ranked 11th overall. This underscores how even a minor improvement and some modest contributions as a pass catcher could improve his reputation so that many analysts will rate him among the top players in the league. That will also have a knock-on effect of making the Jets offense less predictable when he is in the game. The Jets ran the ball just under two-thirds of the time with Ivory in the game.
As noted, we'll continue to keep an eye on this project over the offseason. The next installment tomorrow will bring us up to date by looking at wide receivers and safeties.