With the Jets opting for a running-back-by-committee approach, Johnson will see his touches cut significantly. Still, he'll likely be the featured back and finish the season with the most carries, barring injuries.
The last time the Jets had three running back with at least 100 carries was in 2006, when Leon Washington (151), Kevan Barlow (131) and Cedric Houston (113) achieved it (Cimini, August 6).
We agree that assuming everyone stays healthy that CJ will certainly have the most carries of the group.
Last year the Jets had 421 carries as a team, ranking them a dismal 24th overall. This year, we expect that number to go up for two reasons. First, the Jets are going to be more effective on offense, which means they will be on the field more and thus get the chance to run more plays, be they pass or run. Second, if Geno progresses as expected the Jets will run the ball more because adding talent to their offense at WR and TE will make defenses load up against the run less often. Running the ball won't be as hard as it was when teams stacked the box on their rookie quarterback with less offensive talent outside the numbers just a year ago.
290 carries roughly equates to about 18 carries a game. While we fully expect Johnson will have games where he carries the ball more than 20 times, on average they might use him more in the 15 carries a game range while he sees additional touches as a target of the passing game. His touches might be north of 300, but with other legitimate ball carriers the Jets would be best to play to his strengths and not over-use him.