The Indianapolis Colts (1-4) at the Jets (2-3) at the Meadowlands in East Rutherford, N.J. on Sunday, Oct. 14 at 1 p.m. ET.
Hello, fall! The temperature will barely hit 60 and the skies will be cloudy so it'll feel a little colder than that. At least there won't be much wind, though.
WHAT IT MEANS
For everyone's sake, the Jets need to string together a couple of wins. It will do wonders for their development, their confidence and their confidence in Todd Bowles. But also consider this: If they win and get to 3-3, there's a chance they could finish the weekend in a tie for first place because the Patriots (3-2) are playing the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs and the Dolphins (3-2) are playing the dangerous Chicago Bears. It's still a stretch to believe the Jets, with a rookie quarterback, can win the division or even make the playoffs.
But if they're atop the pack (or at least tied) with a .500 record more than a third of the way through the season, that's huge. They'll make believers out of a lot of people - at least to an extent.
PLAYER TO WATCH: S Jamal Adams
His leadership has been very evident in the past few weeks and his play on the field has, at times, been spectacular. He's a hard hitter and has been good in coverage and is really making an impact at safety. He will have his work cut out for him in this game, though, because he also has to be the glue that holds the Jets' battered defensive backfield together.
They are likely to be without their top two corners, Trumaine Johnson (doubtful, quad) and Buster Skrine (out, concussion), and their safeties are banged up too with Marcus Maye (ankle/foot) and Doug Middleton (hamstring) both questionable. That could put a lot on the shoulders of Adams to get people in the right spots and to make sure coverages aren't blown.
Passing, thanks to Andrew Luck, is about the only thing the Colts do well. They also spread the ball around, with five different players topping 20 catches so far this season, making them even tougher to defend.
I would feel a lot better about this game if the Jets' secondary was at full strength, but their injuries are just the kind of advantage that could help a strong quarterback like Luck. The Colts may be a flawed team, but Luck lit up the Texans and Patriots defense in recent weeks, and it's hard to see him not doing the same to a Jets team with a banged up secondary.
The good news, though, is the Colts' defense isn't very good across the board and the Jets' offense obviously started to click that week. That should continue. They will find room to run the ball, and Sam Darnold is likely to continue to take his shots downfield to Robby Anderson. Maybe with Quincy Enunwa back to full strength he can be a more reliable target after an off game against the Broncos.
But it's hard to see the Jets keeping pace with the Colts in what could be a shootout. A veteran quarterback vs. a rookie quarterback in a high-scoring game is usually a significant mismatch. I think Darnold can hold his own, but it might be a little too much to ask him to do enough to win. … Colts 34, Jets 30.
MY RECORD: 2-3
MY RECORD WHEN PICKING JETS TO WIN: 1-2
MY RECORD WHEN PICKING JETS TO LOSE: 1-1