THE GAME: The Indianapolis Colts (5-6) at the Jets (3-8) at the Meadowlands on Monday, Dec. 5 at 8:25 p.m. ET.
THE WEATHER: It's getting colder around here. A mild day with temperatures near 50 will see the temperatures drop below 40 during the game with the light Meadowlands winds making it feel even colder.
WHAT IT MEANS: Seriously, I don't know any more. The Jets can't finish above .500, so this season is done. In fact, they can officially, mathematically be eliminated from the AFC playoff race this weekend if they lose after the Broncos' win at Jacksonville . Maybe then they'll finally stop with the Ryan Fitzpatrick charade and give Bryce Petty a chance to see what he can do. Then again, they'll be playing with a short week of practice and facing a long trip to San Francisco, so that's a built-in excuse not to switch. And after that there are three tough division games to finish the season, so … ah, forget it.
PLAYER TO WATCH: Jets CB Darrelle Revis. Revis isn't happy with recent reports suggesting he's done, because he's not (or so he says). You know what the best way to prove that would be? To go out and have a good game. He's struggled so much this season against an array of receivers - some accomplished, some not - it's become a little sad at times to watch. But as long as the Jets are going to keep sending him out at corner instead of safety, and as long as they're going to keep allowing him in one-on-one situations without safety help, it would be nice if he could have one more game, or even moment. It's been almost a full year since Revis' last interception (Dec. 27 vs. New England) and he's had only two in his last 19 games. He'd get a pretty good ovation from the crowd, I bet, if he could pull down one more.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Jets defensive line vs. Colts offensive line. This should really be a mismatch. The Colts' offensive line has been awful and has allowed 38 sacks this season. Only the Cleveland Browns have allowed more. It's remarkable, considering that, that Andrew Luck is still upright and is having a pretty good season (with only eight interceptions so far). The Jets' defensive line has been a major disappointment. They've got only 19 sacks, and since that includes their seven-sack opener that means they've had just 12 in the last 10 games. That's disgraceful considering all they've invested in Mo Wilkerson, Sheldon Richardson and Leonard Williams (who, by the way, is the only one really producing with six sacks so far). There's really no excuse for this group not having a big game on Monday night. Granted, Luck can run and is a dangerous passer when moving. But he can also be hit, and the Jets' "Big Three" need to do just that. Their seven-sack opener against the Bengals was supposed to be just a taste of what they can do. This is the perfect game for them to finally show it again.
THE PICK: They played the Patriots so well, it's tempting to get back on the Jets' bandwagon - or, you know, what's left of it. But division games are a much different animal, especially in a lost season. They're often close, since the teams know each other so well, and players are able to get motivated for them much easier. An out-of-division game against a struggling team, even if it's on Monday night? Not so much. So while there are built-in advantages for the Jets in this game - the Colts' miserable pass defense and porous offensive line being two of them - it's probably not enough given the presence of Luck (by far the best quarterback in this matchup) and the way the Jets have struggledrecently. They've been in each of their last three games, but were unable to close them out and it's hard to see them suddenly developing a killer instinct. Plus, while the Colts aren't what everyone thought they'd be, if they win, they move into a three-way tie for the AFC South lead with Houston and Tennessee. Never underestimate the power of having something to play for late in a season. The Colts have that. The Jets, most certainly, do not. ... Colts 30, Jets 21.
MY RECORD: 7-4
MY RECORD WHEN PICKING JETS TO WIN: 2-3
MY RECORD WHEN PICKING JETS TO LOSE: 5-1