In early February, Baseball Prospectus's PECOTA projected the Mets to win 88 games this coming season, win the NL East by one game and play the Cubs in the NLDS.
PECOTA also projects the Mets to have the eighth-most productive offense in the National League, while allowing the second-fewest number of runs.
The previous week, FanGraphs.com projected the Mets to win just 83 games, lose the NL East to the Nationals by seven games and miss the Wild Card by one game...
I'm not saying the Mets are a lock to win 90, but 88 feels a lot more accurate than 83. I understand there are question marks surrounding Matt Harvey and Zack Wheeler, and to a lesser extent Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, and Steven Matz. But, just as it's easy to say all pitchers are 'uncertain,' especially these five guys, I think there's reason to believe they'll benefit from having a diminished workload in 2016, surgeries that eliminated pain, and time to heal during the last year >> Read more from Feb. 7.