Part 3 on players ranked 26-30 is here. Part 2 on players originally ranked 31-36 is here. Part 1 on players originally ranked 36-41 is here. Each player’s name links back to his original scouting report from before the 2011 season.
#21 - RHP Manny AlvarezWhat I thought: The 25-year old Alvarez had a chance with a nice 2011 and the usual roster churn mixed with an injury or two to show up in the big league bullpen.
Reality: He was ineffective in a brief appearance at AAA in April, sent down to AA, and has been on the Binghamton disabled list with an “elbow strain” since May 3.
His Buffalo numbers: 7 IP, 11 H, 8 R, 8 ER, 3 BB, 3 K
#22 – 2B Brad EmausWhat I thought: Emaus deserved the ranking because he went to spring training with a chance to earn a major league starting job, which was much closer than most of my Top 41 would ever get to a big league regular’s job.
Reality: Emaus won the job in Florida, hit .162/.287/.342 in 37 AB in the regular season, and was deservedly sent packing.
Stock: Bye-bye. Recently, in one of the best hitting environments in the all of baseball, in Colorado Springs, the 25-year old has hit .313/.389/.564 in 45 games. That’s cool, I guess.
#23 – RHP Akeel MorrisWhat I thought: He was a raw right-hander with an explosive arm.
Reality: Yup. Through three starts at Kingsport here's what the 18-year old has done: 13.1 IP, 8 H, 9 R, 7 ER, 1 HR, 3 HB, 8 BB, 21 K, 6 WP…
Morris’ third start was his best: 0 HB, 2 BB, 9 K, but he was still touched for four runs.
I love the strikeouts, but clearly, he’s been very wild.
#24 – LHP Steven MatzWhat I thought: Despite Tommy John surgery last May, the Mets first pick in the 2009 draft would be ready to join a short-season team when their seasons started in June.
Reality: Hiccups in his rehab put him behind schedule and he’s currently taking a break in his throwing program.
Stock: Down a little. Yeah, it’s unfair, but if you don’t pitch, you don’t progress.
#25 – RHP Josh StinsonWhat I thought: He had a pretty good 2010, partly in AA. That deserved some reward.
Reality: I overlooked the 23 year-old's ordinary strikeout rate, and it cost me. He’s been hit hard at AAA.
|2010 EL - AA||4.24||32/14||110.33||108||57||52||7||50||68|
|2010 FSL - A+||2.57||4/4||28||22||10||8||5||8||21|
|2010 EL - AA||4.1||5.5||1.4||0.6||8.8|
|2010 FSL - A+||2.6||6.8||2.6||1.6||7.1|