Expectations going in to next season will hopefully be high, especially with Matt Harvey back, Lucas Duda locked in at first base, Travis d'Arnaud in his third season, an All-Star at third and second base, a burgeoning pitching staff and hopefully a more productive, every-day shortstop and/or left fielder on the roster. If they finish just .500, it's going to be a disappointment.
So, in the event Collins and his team get off to a weak start, say 20-35, if they look to be taking a distinct step back from where they were at that point each of the previous two seasons, I expect Alderson to replace him, despite Terry being under contract for the remainder of the season.
Collins seems to get the benefit of the doubt that most of the team's recent struggles in the standings have to do with the young talent he is trying to shepherd toward a season with next year's expectations. Well, it looks like next year is the year we've been waiting for -- the year the team 'contends' -- so I'm fine letting Collins continue to prove he can lead them to that level. I have doubts it will work, because I fear his message and in-game tactics will disrupt a mature, more talented team. But, time will tell...
Collins is under contract, he clearly has the support of Alderson and it's obvious he's returning. However, if he stumbles, if it looks like next year is going off the rails, even if it's 'only May,' I expect Alderson to take some sort of action, which will make next year's choice for bench coach all the more interesting.