As I write this, I'd bet Daisuke Matsuzaka gets the final spot in the rotation; Jenrry Mejia goes to Triple-A; Jeurys Familia, John Lannan and Jose Valverde make the final bullpen; and one of Anthony Seratelli or Omar Quintanilla end up on the bench...
Matsuzaka can opt out of his deal if not on the roster by May 1, he's looked good enough pitching this spring, and it's just too easy to send Mejia to Triple-A to keep getting work as a starting pitcher. The minute a starting pitcher is needed, Mejia will be promoted. There is always a chance the front office decides to use him in the big-league bullpen. But, in the end, I know they know he's capable of -- and most valuable in -- the rotation. I can't see them jerking him around in the bullpen, given his history of injury, lack of innings at this point in his career, and how he's been handled in recent seasons.
In the bullpen, I'm starting to see Familia and Lannan as locks to join Bobby Parnell, Vic Black, Scott Rice and Carlos Torres. The final spot looks like a battle between veterans Valverde and Kyle Farnsworth. Frankly, neither pitcher is getting high praise from experts watching this spring. However, Valverde is popular in the clubhouse, and his former manager, Jim Leyland, keeps talking him up to Terry Collins - and since Collins loves Leyland, my guess is this has an impact. I had one scout tell me in St. Lucie that Farnsworth needs to retire. Valverde seems to have the inside track.
Thankfully, it's looking like Lagares will be on the 25-man. I have no idea how he'll be used, when, how often, who hits leadoff, etc., but his glove is so good it justifies his developing bat. He'll be fine. He needs to be in Queens.
The final bench spot is a dead heat between Seratelli and Quintanilla. In the event the Mets acquire a starting shortstop, the bench role could go to Ruben Tejada. But, so far, that hasn't happened...