Tanaka was 24-0 with a 1.27 ERA last year in Japan. He has 53 complete games and 18 shutouts during his seven-year career.
In the new posting system, teams can submit a maximum bid of $20 million, which they will get back if they are not selected.
The Mets have given no indication, be it in public or private, that they intend to bid on Tanaka. I know it's a refundable $20 million posting fee, but the buzz in MLB is Tanaka will then end up signing a six- or seven-year deal worth around $15 to $20 million a season. That's a lot of money to commit to a guy with no MLB track record. I hear people talk about his outstanding command and his devastating split-finger fastball. But, Sandy Alderson's problem now, and through the foreseeable future, is with scoring runs, not his rotation.
His rotation will probably be very good rotation in 2014, and that's without Matt Harvey. Harvey is their ace, he'll be back in 2015, they have other young, hard-throwing pitchers on the rise and I can't see the front office allocating this much on a bet for the rotation. Instead, I see them continuing to spend over the years on hitters, relievers and bench players, while working to developing home-grown power arms through the farm (whether acquired by trade or the draft).