"Let’s just spitball this list and say there’s a 44% chance that Lucas Duda becomes a valuable asset for the next five years, a 25% chance he becomes a hitter comparable to at least Jason Bay and a 12.5% chance he becomes a star in the Ryan Howard mold."There's no question Duda has fantastic and prolific power to all fields (although the bulk of his home runs have been pulled to right field). Given his power potential, he's probably good enough to play the outfield in the major leagues and the new and less complicated dimension in right field at Citi Field can only help him defensively.
In watching and listening to Duda since he was first called up in 2010, I think his biggest challenge will be sustaining his confidence level. Both Duda and Terry Collins have talked a lot about that over the last year and when Duda has struggled, he's stated he needs to build that confidence. He appeared to grow in that regard as the season went on, as he appeared to let his natural talent take over as he began to believe in himself. Hopefully he has maintained those positive feelings, as the thought of a David Wright/Ike Davis/Lucas Duda trio in the middle-of-the-order can be both dominating and entertaining going forward.
Duda, who turns 26 in February, hit .292 with a .370 on-base percentage, ten home runs and 50 RBI in 301 at-bats across 100 games in 2011.